CD Mensajero vs Gran Tarajal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
25
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARU
2 - 3
CDM
26%
24%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
LPA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VSB
1 - 0
CDM
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
UPR
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 0
CDT
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gran Tarajal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDG
4 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 1
UDG
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UDG
2 - 3
UDS
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 0
UDG
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
YAI
1 - 1
UDG
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |