CD Mensajero vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 1
COT
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
UNV
1 - 1
CDM
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
CDM
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDM
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PAN
1 - 0
CDM
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
CEL
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
COM
0 - 3
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
COM
0 - 1
SAL
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
COM
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |