Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
CD Mensajero vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
CDM
3 - 1
MAS
30%
29%
42%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
REA
0 - 0
CDM
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
SRQ
4 - 0
CDM
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1992 |
CDM
1 - 0
UDO
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
CDM
1 - 1
CPC
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
REA
1 - 0
UDI
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
REA
0 - 0
CDM
55%
24%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
LPA
5 - 2
REA
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 0
REA
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
REA
5 - 0
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |