Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-1
CD Mensajero vs Orotava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
CDM
1 - 1
CPC
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
UDO
1 - 0
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
RAF
3 - 2
CDM
25%
30%
45%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
CDM
5 - 0
LPA
43%
28%
29%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
TEL
2 - 0
CDM
56%
25%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
GAL
2 - 3
UDO
46%
28%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
UDO
1 - 0
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
UDO
4 - 0
COR
70%
18%
11%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
FER
1 - 2
UDO
33%
30%
37%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
UDO
4 - 1
ARG
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |