CD Mensajero vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
ONT
2 - 0
CDM
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
CDM
2 - 2
VAL
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
TER
4 - 1
CDM
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
CDM
2 - 0
PPJ
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
GAV
7 - 1
CDM
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1998 |
NOV
1 - 1
GAN
44%
28%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 1
NOV
42%
28%
30%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1998 |
ZAR
5 - 1
NOV
91%
7%
2%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
NOV
0 - 0
ONT
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
VAL
1 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |