Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
CD Mensajero vs Noja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
COR
0 - 2
CDM
31%
30%
38%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
CDM
0 - 0
SSR
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
NOJ
1 - 1
CDM
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
UPL
1 - 2
CDM
44%
28%
29%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1994 |
CDM
2 - 0
UDO
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
NOJ
2 - 0
PON
84%
12%
4%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
RAC
1 - 0
NOJ
49%
26%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
NOJ
1 - 1
CDM
39%
28%
34%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
NOJ
1 - 1
BAR
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
CUL
0 - 4
NOJ
23%
29%
48%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |