Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-1
CD Mensajero vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDM
24%
31%
46%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
CDM
3 - 0
ARG
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
COR
1 - 0
CDM
55%
26%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CDM
2 - 0
AGU
79%
15%
6%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
LAG
1 - 1
CDM
49%
27%
25%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
MAR
0 - 0
EST
58%
25%
17%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
MEL
3 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 2
BET
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CDF
3 - 1
MAR
39%
32%
29%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
3 - 0
EXT
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |