CD Mensajero vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
25
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSU
2 - 1
CDM
17%
22%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
5 - 2
UDG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARU
2 - 3
CDM
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
LPA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UPR
1 - 1
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 2
UDI
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 3
UDS
12%
18%
69%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YAI
2 - 2
UDI
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |