CD Mensajero vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
CDM
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VER
3 - 0
CDM
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CDM
4 - 1
VIC
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CDM
0 - 2
CDB
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
CSU
1 - 0
CDM
33%
25%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 1
CSU
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
UDI
2 - 2
PAS
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
UDI
1 - 2
CDM
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAS
1 - 0
UDI
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |