CD Mensajero vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RUN
2 - 3
CDM
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 1
BAR
18%
29%
54%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RSO
4 - 0
CDM
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 0
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RMC
1 - 0
CDM
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
BAR
24%
30%
46%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GER
3 - 1
FUE
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GET
0 - 1
GER
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
UDS
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |