CD Mensajero vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
16
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 2
CDM
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 0
PAN
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
UDI
2 - 3
CDM
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 3
CSU
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 2
CDM
19%
23%
59%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MAR
18%
22%
61%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CDT
6 - 0
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 3
UDS
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
YAI
2 - 1
EST
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 6
UPR
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |