Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
CD Mensajero vs Deportivo Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 2
CDM
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RSI
1 - 1
CDM
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDM
1 - 0
LAG
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
CDM
12%
21%
67%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CDM
5 - 0
VIC
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 2
CDM
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 4
LAR
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 0
RAY
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 0
GIM
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 1
RAY
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |