CD Mensajero vs CD Santa Úrsula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
5º
17º
5º
0
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 70 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 69 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 68 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 49 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
3 - 1
CDM
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 2
MAR
64%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 2
PAS
24%
27%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 3
CDM
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
SDT
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
LAN
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 0
CSU
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UPR
2 - 1
CSU
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 1
ARU
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
CSU
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |