CD Mensajero vs CD Santa Úrsula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UDL
2 - 1
CDM
17%
23%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 2
MAR
83%
13%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
CDM
13%
18%
70%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 1
EST
84%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
COT
2 - 1
CDM
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CSU
1 - 1
VER
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CDB
2 - 3
CSU
32%
26%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CSU
1 - 1
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CDT
4 - 1
CSU
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2018 |
CSU
4 - 0
UDL
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |