CD Mensajero vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
COR
3 - 1
CDM
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CDM
4 - 0
LLA
43%
26%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SDT
2 - 3
CDM
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CDM
0 - 1
UDT
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
UDF
1 - 1
CDM
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 1
REA
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAS
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 4
CAG
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LAG
1 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 4
PPJ
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |