Mendrisio-Stabio vs Kreuzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
16º
15º
36
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 84.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 0
MEN
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MUT
0 - 2
MEN
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCW
1 - 2
MEN
71%
19%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
YFJ
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 0
MEN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kreuzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 1
TUG
39%
23%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 3
FCW
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HON
1 - 3
KRE
20%
22%
59%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 0
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STG
4 - 0
KRE
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |