Mendrisio-Stabio vs Hongg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
16º
16º
10
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 0
MEN
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
MEN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UZW
0 - 0
MEN
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
STG
15%
19%
65%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 4
FCL
4%
12%
85%
|
39 | 82 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
TUG
15%
21%
65%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 2
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
HON
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
STG
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UZW
2 - 2
HON
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |