Mendi vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 0
MEN
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 3
CDC
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 2
MEN
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 2
CDS
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
4 - 0
MEN
41%
24%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
ART
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ADR
3 - 0
MUR
40%
22%
37%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAV
74%
17%
10%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 3
MUR
21%
22%
58%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |