Mendi vs Soto-Ibarbaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GAZ
1 - 0
MEN
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 2
ZIR
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MEN
3 - 1
AUR
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 2
MEN
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 0
CDI
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Soto-Ibarbaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SOT
3 - 2
DNT
45%
22%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDI
3 - 1
SOT
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDL
3 - 1
SOT
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SOT
5 - 1
CFB
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 2
SOT
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |