Memphis vs UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Memphis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MPH
2 - 3
TMP
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SFB
1 - 2
MPH
78%
13%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 1
TUL
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 2
TUL
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 3
SFB
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
SMU
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 1
UCF
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 0
TMP
67%
17%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SMU
0 - 2
UCF
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
MPH
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |