Memphis vs SMU Mustangs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
74%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Memphis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
MPH
2 - 1
TMP
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
MPH
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
7 - 0
SFB
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
MPH
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 2
SMU
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
UCF
1 - 2
SMU
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COC
0 - 1
SMU
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |