Memmingen vs Kirchanschöring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
3º
12
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 0
MEM
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
MEM
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MEM
0 - 3
WAC
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 3
MEM
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 0
GRE
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchanschöring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
KOT
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KIR
0 - 1
TSA
17%
24%
60%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
186
3 - 1
KIR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
DEI
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
KIR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |