Melville United vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
68.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
12º
11º
43
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
WCR
3 - 1
MEL
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 4
EAS
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
7 - 3
MEL
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
AFC
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
7 - 1
MEL
45%
22%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
WES
3 - 1
AFC
62%
18%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
WES
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 4
WES
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WES
7 - 1
TCU
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 2
WES
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |