Melville United vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
10º
9º
36
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 1
MEL
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
21%
19%
61%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
TAK
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
OFC
1 - 7
MEL
9%
13%
78%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AUC
7 - 0
MAN
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AFC
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
MAN
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EAS
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
BIR
9%
13%
78%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |