Melville United vs Bay Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
12º
10º
21
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 19 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 17 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 13 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 4
WES
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WCR
3 - 1
MEL
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 4
EAS
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
7 - 3
MEL
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
AFC
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAO
1 - 5
TCU
15%
19%
67%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 5
BAO
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
BAO
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 3
BAO
55%
20%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAO
1 - 2
BIR
27%
20%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |