Melville United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
78.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
12º
11º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
ECB
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAO
0 - 5
MEL
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
4 - 2
MAN
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
MEL
73%
15%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
AUC
14%
19%
68%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
4 - 2
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 3
AUC
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAO
0 - 2
AUC
7%
15%
78%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |