Melville United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
79.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
10º
9º
54
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MUF
2 - 1
MEL
17%
18%
65%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 2
MEL
13%
15%
72%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 2
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 1
MEL
61%
18%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
21%
19%
61%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 1
AFC
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WES
3 - 2
AUC
7%
12%
82%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 3
AUC
7%
14%
79%
|
57 | 19 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AUC
7 - 0
MAN
91%
7%
2%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
AUC
18%
21%
61%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |