Mels vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SEE
7 - 1
MEL
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 3
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
UZW
0 - 0
MEL
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WID
2 - 1
MEL
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 2
UST
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
RUT
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
FRA
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 2
MAR
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
KRE
2 - 1
MAR
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |