Mels vs Sirnach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KRE
2 - 0
MEL
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WID
2 - 3
MEL
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
KOS
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GOS
3 - 1
MEL
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
FRA
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SIR
1 - 1
WID
39%
22%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SIR
1 - 1
KOS
42%
23%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SIR
1 - 2
GOS
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
AMR
2 - 2
SIR
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
SIR
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |