Mels vs Linth 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UST
4 - 1
MEL
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 3
FRA
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GOS
1 - 2
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
AMR
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SIR
4 - 1
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
4 - 3
KRE
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SVS
2 - 3
LIN
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 4
FRE
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 2
LIN
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
SEU
48%
22%
31%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |