Mels vs Linth 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
FRE
6 - 4
MEL
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
SVS
42%
23%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
FCP
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 3
MEL
45%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 2
SEU
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
LIN
6 - 2
FRE
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LIN
4 - 0
FCO
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CHU
2 - 0
LIN
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 2
LIN
17%
20%
62%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 4
LIN
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |