Mels vs Kosova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GOS
3 - 1
MEL
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
FRA
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
MEL
65%
17%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
AMR
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 2
MEL
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kosova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
KOS
4 - 4
WID
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
KRE
4 - 0
KOS
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GOS
1 - 2
KOS
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
KOS
0 - 6
FRA
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 2
KOS
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |