Mels vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 2
ALT
42%
22%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 1
SEU
23%
22%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 4
LIN
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UST
4 - 1
MEL
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 3
FRA
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
KRE
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SVS
1 - 2
FRE
33%
22%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
MAR
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
FRE
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
SEU
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |