Mels vs Töss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
LIN
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FRE
6 - 4
MEL
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
SVS
42%
23%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
FCP
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 3
MEL
45%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Töss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
SEU
1 - 2
TOW
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
TOW
1 - 6
ALT
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SVS
7 - 2
TOW
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 0
WID
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOW
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |