Mels vs Chur 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 3
MEL
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 3
UST
58%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 5
MEL
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 4
KRE
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 0
WID
31%
21%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
CHU
4 - 2
WID
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
KOS
3 - 0
CHU
86%
9%
4%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CHU
1 - 3
GOS
30%
22%
47%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FRA
5 - 5
CHU
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHU
0 - 1
FRE
19%
21%
61%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |