Mels vs Arbon 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UST
4 - 3
MEL
51%
21%
27%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 2
SIR
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KRE
2 - 0
MEL
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WID
2 - 3
MEL
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
KOS
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
WID
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
KOS
2 - 2
ARB
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
3 - 1
GOS
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 0
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 1
FRE
13%
16%
71%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |