Mellieha vs Munxar Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ZEJ
5 - 0
MEL
70%
20%
10%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 1
GUD
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 3
MEL
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 1
QRE
11%
19%
71%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BIR
2 - 0
MEL
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Munxar Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 8
GHA
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
XBI
0 - 2
MUN
88%
10%
2%
|
6 | 29 | 23 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DIN
2 - 0
MUN
88%
10%
2%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIC
3 - 0
MUN
90%
9%
2%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |