Melita vs Zurrieq FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
5º
5º
32
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 0
MEL
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
NAX
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZEJ
2 - 2
MEL
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 2
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 3
MEL
36%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zurrieq FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SLI
18%
24%
59%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 4
ZEJ
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 5
TAR
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAX
3 - 0
ZUR
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 3
MEL
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |