Melita vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
79%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SAI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 0
FUN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
SGC
2 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
ZEB
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PIE
0 - 3
VAL
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
QOR
2 - 3
VAL
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
SLI
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HIB
3 - 1
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |