Melita vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
FLO
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 5
MOS
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SLI
4 - 0
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
QOR
2 - 3
MEL
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MOS
0 - 1
BIR
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
QOR
1 - 1
BIR
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 0
HIB
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 3
HAM
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 1
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |