UD Melilla vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
29.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
POL
0 - 1
MEL
54%
27%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
MEL
0 - 0
GRA
46%
29%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
ALB
2 - 0
MEL
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
MEL
1 - 0
AGD
37%
33%
30%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
SAN
5 - 0
MEL
58%
26%
16%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
VIL
3 - 2
BAL
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 1
VIL
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
GAN
0 - 0
VIL
45%
29%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
VIL
2 - 0
POL
65%
21%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
GRA
2 - 0
VIL
46%
29%
25%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |