UD Melilla vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ALC
6 - 2
MEL
65%
19%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAR
68%
16%
16%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
MAL
1 - 1
MEL
83%
11%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
MEL
3 - 1
BAL
57%
20%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
43%
21%
36%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
VAL
2 - 0
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
RCD
3 - 0
VAL
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
VAL
4 - 1
GRA
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
HER
1 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
VAL
2 - 1
SLA
61%
19%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |