UD Melilla vs UD Sanse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
16º
7º
25
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 59 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 52 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 23 |
17º
|
64% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CPC
0 - 2
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 2
TAL
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 1
CDT
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 3
MEL
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SSR
2 - 1
PAS
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 1
SSR
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SSR
1 - 0
CDM
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GET
0 - 0
SSR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
2 - 3
SSR
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |