UD Melilla vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 2
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 1
MER
54%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 0
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAR
31%
29%
41%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
RJA
3 - 1
MEL
54%
27%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 3
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MER
0 - 0
MAR
30%
30%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |