UD Melilla vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
CDL
0 - 0
MEL
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 0
AGD
33%
30%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 0
EXT
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ECI
1 - 2
MEL
45%
30%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 2
SEV
44%
29%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
JER
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MER
2 - 1
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BAZ
0 - 2
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 2
ARE
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |