UD Melilla vs UD España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CDB
7 - 0
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
GRA
7 - 0
MEL
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MEL
2 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
MUR
4 - 2
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ALC
1 - 0
MEL
64%
18%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
GRA
4 - 0
UDE
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
UDE
3 - 0
CDB
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDE
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
VAL
3 - 1
UDE
66%
18%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |