UD Melilla vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SSR
0 - 0
MEL
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MEL
2 - 1
VEC
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ULP
0 - 0
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 0
LAN
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
RAY
1 - 2
MEL
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
NEG
4 - 0
CEL
18%
24%
59%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
RSI
2 - 1
NEG
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NEG
1 - 1
CAS
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
UDL
1 - 0
NEG
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
NEG
1 - 1
PPJ
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +2 |