UD Melilla vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
HER
4 - 1
MEL
67%
18%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
MEL
5 - 2
LEV
53%
21%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
ALB
8 - 0
MEL
61%
19%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SLA
1 - 0
MEL
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SDC
3 - 1
PUL
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
BAL
3 - 0
SDC
66%
17%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SDC
0 - 0
CAT
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SDC
3 - 3
GRA
53%
22%
26%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1950 |
VAL
3 - 2
SDC
62%
18%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |