UD Melilla vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
LOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
MEL
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
LUC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ECI
2 - 2
MEL
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SRQ
0 - 3
ROD
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 0
SRQ
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SRQ
0 - 0
CAR
22%
28%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 0
SRQ
54%
22%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SRQ
0 - 1
CAD
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |