UD Melilla vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BET
5 - 0
MEL
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
SEV
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
MEL
32%
28%
41%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 0
EST
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
JER
1 - 3
MEL
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 1
SRQ
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SRQ
0 - 1
SEV
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
SRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SRQ
0 - 3
RJA
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
SRQ
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |